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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · Astral Radiance
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
6.0
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
8 historical signals · 75% hit rate · +2.0% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability10.0
avg sealed price $396 — top-tier IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.8
Machamp V Alternate Full Art · $194 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance4.1
8 signals · 75% hit rate · +2.0% avg return
Destruction Momentum4.0
no contraction observed across SKUs
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)8.0
4.0 years since release — reprint risk reduced
Signal Track Record4.6
8 signal events · 75% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minAstral Radiance scores 6.0/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the SWSH era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (10.0) — avg sealed price $396 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Destruction Momentum (4.0) — no contraction observed across SKUs. Backtest: 8 signals at 75% hit rate.
Reprint risk low
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.