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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · Brilliant Stars
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
7.0
STRONG
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
21 historical signals · 81% hit rate · +7.7% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability10.0
avg sealed price $602 — top-tier IP pull
Chase Card Significance6.4
Charizard V Alternate Full Art · $345 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance5.3
21 signals · 81% hit rate · +7.7% avg return
Destruction Momentum5.9
-5.4% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)8.2
4.2 years since release — reprint risk minimal
Signal Track Record6.2
21 signal events · 81% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minBrilliant Stars scores 7.0/10 — a strong sealed thesis for the SWSH era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (10.0) — avg sealed price $602 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Historical Performance (5.3) — 21 signals · 81% hit rate · +7.7% avg return. Backtest: 21 signals at 81% hit rate.
Proven backtestReprint risk low
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.