SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE

Long-Term Thesis · Darkness Ablaze

Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.

LTS SCORE

6.7

MODERATE

0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.

CONVICTION GRADE

Proven

Solid

Limited

Unproven

5 historical signals · 100% hit rate · +11.5% avg return.

FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE

IP Desirability9.5

avg sealed price $340 — top-tier IP pull

Chase Card Significance5.2

Charizard VMAX · $52 chase · 0% EV

Historical Performance6.9

5 signals · 100% hit rate · +11.5% avg return

Destruction Momentum4.0

no contraction observed across SKUs

Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)9.8

5.8 years since release — reprint risk minimal

Signal Track Record5.5

5 signal events · 100% hit rate

AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS

data snapshot · refreshed every 10 min

Darkness Ablaze scores 6.7/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the SWSH era. Strongest factor: Reprint Risk (9.8) — 5.8 years since release — reprint risk minimal. Weakest factor: Destruction Momentum (4.0) — no contraction observed across SKUs. Backtest: 5 signals at 100% hit rate.

Proven backtestReprint risk low

ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.