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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · Hidden Fates
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
6.8
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
7 historical signals · 86% hit rate · +6.9% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability10.0
avg sealed price $545 — top-tier IP pull
Chase Card Significance7.5
Charizard GX · $635 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance5.4
7 signals · 86% hit rate · +6.9% avg return
Destruction Momentum4.0
no contraction observed across SKUs
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)10.0
6.8 years since release — reprint risk minimal
Signal Track Record5.0
7 signal events · 86% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minHidden Fates scores 6.8/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the UPCSPCS era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (10.0) — avg sealed price $545 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Destruction Momentum (4.0) — no contraction observed across SKUs. Backtest: 7 signals at 86% hit rate.
Proven backtestReprint risk lowIconic chase card
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.