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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · Obsidian Flames
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
6.7
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
10 historical signals · 100% hit rate · +11.1% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability10.0
avg sealed price $533 — top-tier IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.6
Charizard ex 223 197 · $139 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance6.9
10 signals · 100% hit rate · +11.1% avg return
Destruction Momentum4.0
no contraction observed across SKUs
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)6.8
2.8 years since release — reprint risk reduced
Signal Track Record6.0
10 signal events · 100% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minObsidian Flames scores 6.7/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the SV era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (10.0) — avg sealed price $533 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Destruction Momentum (4.0) — no contraction observed across SKUs. Backtest: 10 signals at 100% hit rate.
Proven backtest
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.