SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE

Long-Term Thesis · Paldean Fates

Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.

LTS SCORE

7.5

STRONG

0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.

CONVICTION GRADE

Proven

Solid

Limited

Unproven

7 historical signals · 86% hit rate · +11.4% avg return.

FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE

IP Desirability10.0

avg sealed price $615 — top-tier IP pull

Chase Card Significance7.5

Mew ex 232 091 · $889 chase · 2% EV

Historical Performance6.2

7 signals · 86% hit rate · +11.4% avg return

Destruction Momentum10.0

-41.2% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU

Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)6.3

2.3 years since release — reprint risk reduced

Signal Track Record5.0

7 signal events · 86% hit rate

AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS

data snapshot · refreshed every 10 min

Paldean Fates scores 7.5/10 — a strong sealed thesis for the SV era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (10.0) — avg sealed price $615 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Signal Track Record (5.0) — 7 signal events · 86% hit rate. Backtest: 7 signals at 86% hit rate.

Proven backtestSupply tighteningIconic chase card

ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.