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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE

Long-Term Thesis · Paradox Rift (Roaring Moon)

Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.

LTS SCORE
6.2
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
0 historical signals.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability7.3
avg sealed price $170 — strong IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.5
Groudon 199 182 · $123 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance5.0
no historical signals yet
Destruction Momentum10.0
-66.7% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)6.6
2.6 years since release — reprint risk reduced
Signal Track Record4.0
no signals fired yet
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 min

Paradox Rift (Roaring Moon) scores 6.2/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the SV era. Strongest factor: Destruction Momentum (10.0) — -66.7% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU. Weakest factor: Signal Track Record (4.0) — no signals fired yet. Limited historical signal track record so far.

Supply tighteningThin track record
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.