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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · Paradox Rift
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
5.6
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
3 historical signals · 67% hit rate · +2.3% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability8.8
avg sealed price $286 — top-tier IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.5
Groudon 199 182 · $123 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance3.7
3 signals · 67% hit rate · +2.3% avg return
Destruction Momentum6.2
-7.4% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)6.6
2.6 years since release — reprint risk reduced
Signal Track Record3.6
3 signal events · 67% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minParadox Rift scores 5.6/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the SV era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (8.8) — avg sealed price $286 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Signal Track Record (3.6) — 3 signal events · 67% hit rate. Backtest: 3 signals at 67% hit rate.
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.