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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE

Long-Term Thesis · Pokemon GO

Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.

LTS SCORE
6.4
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
1 historical signals · 100% hit rate · +6.6% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability6.8
avg sealed price $136 — strong IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.3
Mewtwo V Alternate Full Art · $66 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance6.1
1 signals · 100% hit rate · +6.6% avg return
Destruction Momentum8.0
-18.0% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)7.9
3.9 years since release — reprint risk reduced
Signal Track Record5.1
1 signal events · 100% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 min

Pokemon GO scores 6.4/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the HF + SWSH ETBS era. Strongest factor: Destruction Momentum (8.0) — -18.0% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU. Weakest factor: Signal Track Record (5.1) — 1 signal events · 100% hit rate. Backtest: 1 signals at 100% hit rate.

Proven backtestSupply tighteningReprint risk lowThin track record
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.