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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · Shining Fates
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
5.9
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
0 historical signals.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability7.1
avg sealed price $159 — strong IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.6
Charizard VMAX · $158 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance5.0
no historical signals yet
Destruction Momentum6.2
-6.9% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)9.3
5.3 years since release — reprint risk minimal
Signal Track Record4.0
no signals fired yet
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minShining Fates scores 5.9/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the HF + SWSH ETBS era. Strongest factor: Reprint Risk (9.3) — 5.3 years since release — reprint risk minimal. Weakest factor: Signal Track Record (4.0) — no signals fired yet. Limited historical signal track record so far.
Reprint risk lowThin track record
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.