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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · SV Base
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
5.8
MODERATE
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
16 historical signals · 69% hit rate · +3.9% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability9.0
avg sealed price $303 — top-tier IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.4
Gardevoir ex 245 198 · $92 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance4.1
16 signals · 69% hit rate · +3.9% avg return
Destruction Momentum4.0
no contraction observed across SKUs
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)7.2
3.2 years since release — reprint risk reduced
Signal Track Record5.0
16 signal events · 69% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minSV Base scores 5.8/10 — a moderate sealed thesis for the SV era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (9.0) — avg sealed price $303 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Destruction Momentum (4.0) — no contraction observed across SKUs. Backtest: 16 signals at 69% hit rate.
Reprint risk low
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.