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SET-LEVEL THESIS · 0–10 SCALE
Long-Term Thesis · SWSH Base
Composite investment-thesis score across 6 weighted factors. Generational (9+), Strong (7+), Moderate (4+). Updated weekly as pricing, supply and reprint signals move.
LTS SCORE
7.7
STRONG
0 weak4 moderate7 strong9 gen.
CONVICTION GRADE
A
Proven
B
Solid
C
Limited
D
Unproven
13 historical signals · 100% hit rate · +3.0% avg return.
FACTOR BREAKDOWN · WEIGHTED COMPOSITE
IP Desirability10.0
avg sealed price $678 — top-tier IP pull
Chase Card Significance5.4
Snorlax VMAX Secret · $90 chase · 0% EV
Historical Performance5.5
13 signals · 100% hit rate · +3.0% avg return
Destruction Momentum10.0
-33.3% avg supply contraction across 1 SKU
Reprint Risk(LOWER = RISKIER)10.0
6.3 years since release — reprint risk minimal
Signal Track Record6.3
13 signal events · 100% hit rate
AI THESIS · DRAFTED FROM FACTOR SIGNALS
data snapshot · refreshed every 10 minSWSH Base scores 7.7/10 — a strong sealed thesis for the SWSH era. Strongest factor: IP Desirability (10.0) — avg sealed price $678 — top-tier IP pull. Weakest factor: Chase Card Significance (5.4) — Snorlax VMAX Secret · $90 chase · 0% EV. Backtest: 13 signals at 100% hit rate.
Proven backtestSupply tighteningReprint risk low
ⓘ This analysis reflects data patterns only and is not investment advice.